An Inconvenient Study

By Jeff Barton

America’s Children are Sick

Today approximately 50% of American children have at least one chronic illness compared with 12% in the 1980s. Rheumatoid Arthritis, Diabetes, Lupus, Chron’s Disease, Eczema, Allergies, and Autism, to name a few. Today about one in 30 children suffer from Autism to some degree while 30 years ago the incidence was 1 in 10,000. There has been much speculation as to why, from diet to environmental factors to vaccines, but there has yet to be discovered a definitive cause.

But then, it is impossible to find what you are not looking for. An inconvenient study is a film produced by Del Bigtree that examines several studies in the past linking chronic childhood illness to vaccines along with a recent retrospective study of thousands of children within the health records of Henry Ford Health in Michigan. Henry Ford health is the second largest provider in Michigan and runs 13 hospitals.

Aren’t Vaccines Safe and Effective?

We are told that vaccines have been thoroughly studied and are safe and effective. But here is the dirty little secret, no vaccine on the childhood schedule has been tested for safety. The standard for testing the safety of any drug is to do a double-blind placebo controlled (DBPC) study. A DBPC study evaluates the health outcomes of two groups over time. One group receives the drug under investigation, and the other receives a placebo such as a saline solution. Neither the patient nor the doctor knows which any given patient has received until after the duration of the study, which can be several years and up to ten years.

Catch 22

After a vaccine is approved without a DBPC study and adverse reactions begin to be reported, a DBPC study is often called for by those who believe in the scientific method and are not profiting from the vaccine business. The suggestion of a DBPC study is considered by the racketeers as unethical since the control group receiving the placebo would be denied a safe and effective life-saving vaccine. This leaves the second-best option, which is to do a retrospective study. A retrospective study examines the medical records of a statistically significant number of patients and segregates them into groups of vaxed vs un-vaxed and compares the health outcomes.

Retrospective Studies Vaxed Vs Un-Vaxed

Dr. Peter Aaby is pro vaccine. In the late 1970s, Dr Aaby ran a program to vaccinate citizens of Guinea-Bissau West Africa with the Diphtheria Tetanus Pertussis (DTP) vaccine, which is the most administered vaccine worldwide. Thirty years later Dr Aaby realized that about half the population had received the vaccine and that this offered an ideal opportunity to do a retrospective study on the overall health outcome of the two groups.

While Dr Aaby expected the analysis to show that the vaccinated cohort was healthier, he found that the un-vaccinated cohort was healthier, much healthier.

Overall, those in the vaccinated group were 2.3 times more likely to have died in the thirty years since vaccination. For infants, the probability of death was five times higher. The vaccine was effective against DPT, as the deaths were not from the diseases vaccinated against, but nevertheless the mortality of the vaccinated group was significantly higher due to side effects of the vaccine. Clearly the vaccines did not result in a healthier population.

This has been called non-specific effects or effects outside the pathogen being vaccinated against. In 2008, the World Health Organization (WHO) reviewed the evidence for non-specific effects of BCG vaccine, measles vaccine, and DTP vaccine, and concluded that it would “keep a watch on the evidence of nonspecific effects of vaccination.” It would not sponsor a DBPC study, nor would it conduct further retrospective studies, instead it would do nothing and continue to push these vaccines on the third world.

Eugenics anyone?

Dr. Paul Thomas is a pediatrician who practiced for 35 years in Portland. Over the first ten years of his practice, he noticed that his patients were getting sicker. Over the next decade he noticed that more parents were opting to forgo vaccination and those who were unvaccinated seemed to be healthier. Dr Thomas analyzed the health status of every baby born into his practice and divided them into those who were vaccinated and those who were not. In every category evaluated, the vaccinated had a three to five times greater probability to suffer from allergy, autoimmune disease, autism, neurodevelopment, and other issues. His peer reviewed results were published in the International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. Within days of his findings becoming available as a preprint online, his paper was retracted, and he was informed that his license to practice medicine had been revoked. The reason for revocation was that he was a threat to public health.

The Zervos Study

Dr Marcus Zervos is head of infectious disease at Henry Ford Health. Del Bigtree met with Dr Zervos and was delighted to convince him to do a retrospective study of the overall health outcomes of the vaxed vs the un-vaxed. Dr Zervos gave his word that he would publish the results no matter what they were.

Finally, a study by a large research hospital with a database of millions of patients!

Dr Zervos approached this with the assumption that the study would show that the vaccinated were healthier than the unvaccinated and would go a long way to quiet the anti-vaxers. After two years, the study was complete: Impact of Childhood Vaccination on Short and Long-Term Chronic Health Outcomes in Children: A Birth Cohort Study. The results confirmed smaller retrospective studies of vaxed vs un-vaxed and that was that the unvaccinated were healthier, much healthier. For example, the vaccinated were 4.3 times more likely to suffer from asthma compared to the unvaccinated. Other significant findings are shown below. The linked study has all the results summarized in tabular form (Table 3) and are stunning.

Condition Ratio Vaxed/Un-vaxed

Asthma 4.3

Autoimmune Disease 5.96

Neurodevelopmental Disorder 5.53

Developmental delay 3.28

Speech Disorder 4.47

Del was also informed that the study would not be published. Del convinced Zervos to meet for dinner to talk about the results of the study. Del equipped himself with a hidden camera and recording equipment to surreptitiously record the meeting. The video is stunning. Zervos admits that the unvaxed were significantly healthier than the vaccinated, and that he believed the results were valid but nonetheless was not going to publish it for fear of losing his job. As troubling as his words were, his body language was repulsive. Zervos is more concerned about his food and picks meat from his teeth with his greasy fingers while digging his heels in about not publishing. Del points out that this information could potentially be life saving for children while Zervos shovels food into his mouth. To this day, the Zervos study remains unpublished. Doctors continue to push vaccines, and when questioned will tell you that vaccines are “safe and effective” and that there are no credible published results which show that vaccines are unsafe.

Closing Thoughts

The scientific method grew out of enlightenment thought and sought to understand nature through observation and experiment. Science is never “settled” but our understanding is always evolving. When data that challenges our understanding is presented, science demands that the results be replicated, challenged, and examined.

Famously Galileo was put under house arrest for insisting that the sun was at the center of the solar system rather than the earth. According to enlightenment thinking, Galileo’s theories should have been examined, challenged, replicated and experiments devised to test the competing hypotheses. Today, the Zervos study should be examined, challenged, and should finally result in DBPC studies to settle the vaccine safety question. Unfortunately, the vaccine business has devolved to pre-enlightenment form where those who do not support the orthodoxy are punished.

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Every great cause begins as a movement, becomes a business, and eventually degenerates into a racket.

Eric Hoffer, “The Temper of our Times”

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